Africa
Libya: Suspended Legitimacy
The News: Rome hosted the first “4+4” format meeting under UN mission auspices, with representatives from eastern and western Libya agreeing on a mechanism to reconstitute the High National Elections Commission through a…
Nigeria & South Africa | Pressure, Drift, and the Battle for Influence
The News: Two separate crises converge in a single strategic frame. South Africa is experiencing a wave of anti-immigrant violence targeting African nationals, prompting Nigeria to recall its ambassador and Ghana to file…
Algeria and the Sahel — A Return to Influence or a Mediation Trap?
The security order Mali’s military council had built since 2020 collapsed within 72 hours. On April 25, a coalition of the al-Qaeda-affiliated Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) and the Tuareg Azawad Liberation…
Mali: When Jihad Speaks the Language of Diplomacy
The News On April 25, Jamaat Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), al-Qaeda’s Sahel affiliate, issued a lengthy “victory statement” describing the fighters of the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) — a non-Islamist Tuareg…
Mali and the Sahel: Multi-Dimensional Regional Threat
Since April 25, 2026, Mali has been experiencing the largest coordinated attack in its modern history since the 2012 rebellion, launched jointly by al-Qaeda-affiliated Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) and the…
Mali Situation Report
In the early hours of Saturday, April 25, Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), al-Qaeda’s Sahel affiliate, carried out a series of simultaneous attacks across Mali in coordination with the Tuareg-led Azawad…
Libya: Political Deadlock on the Edge of Ignition
The News Three contradictory developments paint Libya’s current picture: On the positive side, the House of Representatives approved a unified national budget for the first time in 13 years under American sponsorship…
Pope Leo in Africa — Algeria Visit
What Happened? Pope Leo XIV made a historic visit to Algeria — the first ever papal visit to the country — as part of an 11-day African tour that will also include Cameroon and Angola. He called on Algerians to “forgive”…
Nigeria in April 2026
The Escalating Wave of Violence — Comprehensive Analytical Report Introduction: Nigeria on the Brink of Security Collapse In less than two weeks, Nigeria has become an open battleground stretching from the far northeast…
A Turkish drillship opens a new energy chapter off Mogadishu
Turkey’s deep-sea drillship Çağrı Bey arrived in Somali waters today, Thursday April 9, 2026, completing a 53-day voyage from the port of Taşucu in southern Turkey — the first time a Turkish drillship has ever operated…
Africa Faces Imminent Inflation Shock
Estimates by the International Energy Agency indicate that the conflict linked to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has caused the largest disruption to global energy supplies in modern market history. Oil flows that…
The Vote of 123: America Alone at the UN, China and Russia Gain Ground in Africa
On March 25th, on the very same day Iranian missiles were falling on Kuwait International Airport, the UN General Assembly convened and voted 123 to 3 to adopt a resolution condemning the transatlantic slave trade as…